Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 17.055149 19.857084 22.923841 26.522715 30.623123 35.142048 40.491779
2024-11-03 13.171526 17.188876 22.040937 28.297385 36.111808 45.507730 57.613927
2024-11-10 11.113101 15.854110 22.032573 30.589596 42.034786 56.702672 76.791160
2024-11-17 9.069926 13.976713 20.802047 30.843794 45.063400 64.268246 91.908037
2024-11-24 7.400154 12.226009 19.342288 30.386804 46.825608 70.056590 104.939847
2024-12-01 6.029733 10.630867 17.792618 29.465199 47.641120 74.391929 116.104629
2024-12-08 5.140620 9.616476 16.932441 29.390707 49.582584 80.380886 130.011531
2024-12-15 4.476988 8.851518 16.333713 29.598883 51.897243 87.024097 145.327158
2024-12-22 3.619924 7.588186 14.706593 27.867127 50.837840 88.239329 152.211237
2024-12-29 3.304136 7.270783 14.671253 28.830349 54.309824 96.914875 171.561369
2025-01-05 3.098855 7.131292 14.930271 30.324700 58.802149 107.572662 194.879626
2025-01-12 2.675321 6.472959 14.117940 29.737457 59.519186 111.871037 207.802975
2025-01-19 2.195416 5.632586 12.881568 28.292151 58.710697 113.790420 217.419997
2025-01-26 2.082096 5.597155 13.288364 30.156767 64.363215 127.739433 249.427042
2025-02-02 2.019812 5.670078 13.932964 32.580269 71.334540 144.645169 288.013140
2025-02-09 1.797467 5.307604 13.572535 32.848614 74.052773 153.865870 313.231402
2025-02-16 1.555987 4.843760 12.908068 32.364776 75.169476 160.104557 333.307688
2025-02-23 1.321565 4.344719 12.077428 31.389163 75.129350 164.048085 349.237249
2025-03-02 1.168649 4.038569 11.664184 31.310295 76.982794 171.854331 373.169666
2025-03-09 1.049551 3.804404 11.394078 31.530681 79.502945 181.179923 400.721762
2025-03-16 0.859226 3.303439 10.342426 29.697074 77.189298 180.315333 407.667854
2025-03-23 0.804424 3.225935 10.422783 30.717023 81.558636 193.840516 444.988498
2025-03-30 0.773305 3.221696 10.707641 32.299003 87.398843 210.924429 490.783620